Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Southern Miss (44-18) | 5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
FAU (43-19-1) | 6 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 6 | -0.5 | 53% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Old Dominion (15-37) | 4 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 3 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
FIU (26-28) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 8 | -5.0 | 76% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Charlotte (34-24) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 6 | -1.5 | 59% | ✔ | |
Middle Tennessee (27-27-1) | 0 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 5 | +1.5 | 41% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Western Kentucky (21-31) | 0 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
Rice (26-31-2) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -4.5 | 75% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Louisiana Tech (39-20) | 0 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | ✘ | 6 | -4.5 | 74% | ✘ | |
UAB (21-33) | 3 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | 1 | +4.5 | 26% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Marshall (19-31) | 3 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
UTSA (32-24) | 4 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -6.0 | 81% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 67%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 83%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 67%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 83%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.